Consultation Submission: Roadmap for Transitioning Away from Fossil Fuels in a Just, Orderly and Equitable Manner

Submitted: March 31, 2026

Written evidence response by Sindi Kuci, Ingrid Udd Sundvor, Stuart Jenkins, Sam Fankhauser, Myles Allen, and Navraj Singh Ghaleigh.

We welcome the COP30 Presidency’s invitation to submit contributions on the Roadmap for Transitioning Away from Fossil Fuels in a Just, Orderly and Equitable Manner. We support this initiative and recognise its importance in identifying practical options towards the achievement of Paris Agreement targets.

To support the creation of this Roadmap, we identify barriers to managing a fossil fuel transition including:

  • Geopolitical volatility and existing structural advantages to fossil fuel production and use;

  • Limited focus on and insufficiently articulated ‘exit routes’ for a managed decline in supply from producer nations;

  • The limitations faced by fossil-dependent small or low-income producers, including considerations for long-term investment practices, and

  • Constraints – both material and economic – to developing clean-up technologies for residual emissions, such as carbon capture and geological storage.

Read the full submission here

We suggest that a pathway towards a transition away from fossil fuels requires a multi-lever approach, with a focus on three complementary and context-specific pillars:

  1. Managing fossil fuel supply

  2. Driving the shift in energy demand

  3. Building enabling conditions for a just transition

We finally highlight that a just, orderly and equitable decline of fossil fuel production and use should include flexible transition pathways for emerging and developing economies, a coordinated decline of both demand and supply and clear responsibilities for the clean up of remaining carbon dioxide (CO2) in the atmosphere.

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