Establish a geological net zero pathway in the NDCs

Title: The Opportunity to Establish a Geological Net Zero Pathway in Revised NDCs

Published: November 18, 2024

Written by Ingrid Sundvor, Injy Johnstone, Myles Allen and Stuart Jenkins.


This briefing explores how governments can course-correct their Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) and Long-Term Low-Emission Development Strategies (LT-LEDS) to align with a Geological Net Zero pathway to limit global warming.

It highlights the misapplication of current net zero definitions and proposes actionable recommendations for NDC updates, including tracking and achieving meaningful geologically-timescaled CO2 removals. The Nature publication behind this brief is accessible here.

Download the briefing here

Recommendations for NDCs and LT-LEDS:

  • Establish New Disaggregated Separate Accounting Tracks in the NDCs

  • Establish a Geological Removals Target in Absolute and Relative Terms

  • Protect Natural Sinks as a Supplement, Not a Substitute for Reducing Fossil CO2

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